António Guterres, You Won’t Stop Russia – But Mines Might

UN Secretary-General António Guterres made an appeal to countries planning to withdraw from the Ottawa Treaty and reintroduce anti-personnel landmines. Among these countries, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Finland are neighbors of Russia.

Their departure from the treaty is justified precisely by this geographical fact — and by the fact that Russia is an aggressive and imperialist great power that has invaded the territory of several of its neighbors. There is no doubt that its current regime might also decide to test the security guarantees NATO has given to these countries — once it is done with Ukraine.

That is why it is fair to ask Mr. Guterres how he intends to prevent Russia’s intentions, should it decide to attack, for example, my own homeland. And whether, in such a situation, he would take responsibility for the Finnish lives that would have been saved by effective mining.

I do not expect an answer from the UN Secretary-General, but I remind him that Finland once sought help — in vain — from the UN’s predecessor, the League of Nations, before the Winter War that began in 1939. No help came then, and I do not believe Guterres would be able to provide any in the 2020s either, should Russia’s Putin choose to repeat Stalin’s move and order his army to seize Helsinki and strip Finland of its independence.

For this reason, I believe the UN Secretary-General would do well to keep quiet about the affairs of Eastern Europe, and instead focus on achieving a just peace in Ukraine, resolving the conflict between Jews and Arabs in Palestine, and ensuring that Iran does not continue its nuclear weapons program after its war with Israel comes to an end.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Putin's Threat Bolsters European Border States' Defense Against Russia
Highlights of the BRICS Meeting in Kazan, Russia
United Nations, corruption and terrorism

Hassan Nasrallah Has Been Killed, but Lebanon Is Unlikely to Become the Switzerland of the Middle East Again

Israel announced yesterday that it had killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut, Lebanon. Thus, once again, evil has been punished.

Unfortunately, it seems that this does not mean the complete destruction of Hezbollah, although it may lead to confusion and internal power struggles within the group for some time. And in this case, perhaps for a long time, since the armed forces of the Jewish state have already eliminated a large portion of Hezbollah's leadership.

It is clear that all of this will have repercussions throughout Lebanon. And certainly not in a positive way, at least if the country’s history continues on its current trajectory.

Like Israel, Lebanon has a long history, starting with the Phoenician seafaring people, followed by occupations by various states, and eventually gaining independence after World War II. At first, things looked promising, as the new nation’s economy grew rapidly after the war, thanks to the booming oil trade and financial services in Arab countries.

Even in the 1960s, Beirut and its surroundings became wealthy due to tourism and banking, and Lebanon became known as the "Switzerland of the Middle East" while Beirut was dubbed the "Paris of the Middle East." But then, at the very end of the decade, a fateful and catastrophic mistake occurred. In November, Lebanon's army commander Emile Boustany and the chairman of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO), Yasser Arafat, agreed that the Palestinians could establish camps in Lebanon.

From that point onward, the country took a downward spiral, culminating in a full-scale civil war in the spring of 1975. On one side were the Christian Phalangists, and on the other were the recently displaced Palestinians – who had been expelled from Jordan not long before.

The fighting spread across the entire country, with Palestinian forces joining the Lebanese leftist Muslims. Eventually, in June 1976, Syrian troops were called into the country, which brought peace to Beirut. However, the fighting continued in southern Lebanon, where Palestinians launched rockets into northern Israel, provoking the Israelis to launch military attacks in 1978 and again four years later, with support from Lebanon’s Christian forces.

As a result of all this, Lebanon’s own army eventually collapsed, and since then, the country has been in a state of disarray, with Syria meddling in its affairs. At the same time, Lebanon has also grown closer to Iran, from which Hezbollah—remotely controlled by Tehran—has developed into a significant and popular organization over the past decade, ensuring the persistence of chaos and continuous provocations against Israel.

The driving force behind all this has been the growing Muslim population, which has overtaken that of the Christians. Today, 32% of the country’s inhabitants are Christians, 32% are Sunni Muslims, 31% are Shia Muslims, 5% belong to other Islamic sects, and the rest adhere to various other religions. A return to being the Switzerland of the Middle East is not on the horizon.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Hezbollah Uses Human Shields While the Green-Left Looks Away
How Will Israel Benefit on the Explosions of Hezbollah's Communication Devices?
A new Government for Israel, but why doesn´t it solve anything?