The arrival of caliphate citizens must be prevented

The era of ISIS is ending in Syria, and now it is time to ensure that the arrival of caliphate citizens to Finland should be prevented. For that purpose, there is a precedent from UK, where nationality was revoked from a woman known as ISIS bride - although it is probable that this decision must be confirmed in court.

Today I also became aware of a case that should be taken as a warning by the Finnish politicians and layers. Namely, a former neo-Swedish ISIS-fighter had participated in a payback murder in our western neighbor, and was still so confused that he considered himself a hero worth of a medal.

Considering these (and many other) cases I believe that any sensible human being understands that the head of all members of an organization like ISIS have their heads so fully confused that their behavior is not regulated by normal code of behavior. Or at least not one that would be acceptable in Western countries.

Therefore it should be clear that our politicians and juridical experts should understand that we do not need any caliphate citizens in Finland. And least of them walking freely among normal people.

As this has hopefully become clear also to our prime minister and members of the government and parliament, they should understand that the most important task before the elections in this spring would be to protect normal people from these ISIS veterans that have completely mixed their heads by religious fanaticism. There is not a single reason to feel pity for them, as they have made their decisions in order to destroy us and our culture.

For the same reason their right for the citizenship is not equal to normal people´s right for a safe living and environment. That must be understood in the juridical system, that will confirm the solutions made by the politicians.

The ordinary people, on the other hand, should understand that it is their own benefit, if they will vote for political parties that have not assisted the mass arrival of islamic economic refugees during the last few years. Especially, they should understand that voting a critical candidate in a migration positive party is not enough as their net effect - due to group discipline - would not differ from any other politician in the same party.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
A set of immigration-derived sexual crimes in a Finnish town
The Danish government proposed reforms for immigration policy
Rape statistics in Finland and Sweden are breaking prejudices

The original thought in Finnish:
Kalifaatin kansalaisten pääsy suomalaisten pariin on estettävä

The Center and the National Coalition Party are willing to donate our tax money to the EU

European Stability Mechamism ESM founded in summer 2012 is part of the EU strategy designed to safeguard financial stability in the euro area. It is based on an idea that financial support will be given to member countries experiencing or threatened by financing difficulties.

ESM brought back memories from the era, when Greece was in acute crisis and also Finnish taxpayers money was dispersed to Greeks with no sorrow. Recently we were told that the main parties of our government - the National Coalition Party and the Center Party - are willing to outsource the use of this money to the qualified majority of EU countries. In other words, to give away even our theoretical possibility to control the use of Finnish taxpayers money.

I wrote (in Finnish) about this topic already in year 2011, when ESM was only under planning. I noted then that such a decision would be against the constitutional law of Finland, as the constitutional Law committee of the parliament had announced. This should be taken seriously also by the current politicians in the National coalition party and the Center party.

In practice this means the leaders of these two parties, Petteri Orpo and Juha Sipilä, will need support from two thirds of the members of the parliament to get their view accepted. Therefore it is important that the citizens of Finland will be awake during the elections of the parliaments of Finland and the European Union next spring: a vote to an incorrect party would give an open mandate to EU for the use of our common wallet - including cases which are against our own will.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
World Resources Institute had an arrogant demand

The original thought in Finnish:
Keskusta ja Kokoomus lahjoittaisivat verorahamme EU:n käytettäväksi

Reapplications for asylum are made to prolong seeker´s stay

Two women who make their living from refugee-related business - Marjaana Laine and Pia Lindfors - claimed that the renewals of asylum applications in Finland are due to problems in the process. In order to fix the problem, they demanded more juridical help for the applicants - and thus more money for themselves.

This comment was responded by the immigration office leader Esko Repo, who said in a politically correct way, that the most common reason for renewals is not problems in the process. Instead, most of the reapplications are made because the applicant has a new  justification for his application. Half of these new arguments relate to leaving islam or turning to christianity.

In the same response, Repo told that "approximately half of the asylum claims in 2018 were reapplications. 16 % of decisions made were positive and 32% negative." In other words, two applications of three were unfounded as based on the decisions.

My interpretation on this is that most of the applications are made simply to prolong the time of staying in Finland on taxpayers money. This option is made extremely attractive by the fact that the number of reapplications has not been restricted.

In other words, the Finnish taxpayers have been put under an obligation to cover the costs of asylum seekers without any limit; and that attracts them to make more and more applications. The same taxpayer´s money is also shared by people in the refugee-related business such a Laine and Lindfors. No wonder that they try to keep that option open with all possible excuses. Even with invented ones, as demonstrated by their claim cited in the beginning of this text.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
A set of immigration-derived sexual crimes in a Finnish town
The Danish government proposed reforms for immigration policy
Rape statistics in Finland and Sweden are breaking prejudices

The original thought in Finnish:
Turvapaikanhakijoiden uusintahakemukset tehdään maassaolon pitkittämiseksi

Arctic ice sheet does not support greenhouse gases as the cause of accelerating global warming

In the figure above I have marked the number of years after which a regression between the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere and the area of the Arctic ice sheet is statistically significant at a risk level of one percent (P<0.01) in two consecutive years. In X-axis I marked the year from which each analysis series started.

I used Mauna Loa statistics as the carbon dioxide estimate and the area of Arctic ice sheet as the proxy for the global  temperature in the month when it reaches its minimum size (September). The Arctic ice sheet is used because I have previously noted that estimates based on other types of measurements are under a continuous change, and therefore I do not trust them. However, the minimum area or the Arctic sheet correlates statistically significantly with those estimates.

Using one percent risk level instead of more common five percent was due to the fact that I made a total of 740 regression analyses for this analysis. Therefore using the common five percent risk level, I could have been expected almost 40 "significant" results by chance.

Actually, approximately seven incorrect "significance levels" could be expected also using one percent criterion. Therefore I decided to make calculations until I find significance in consecutive two years. The number of one year significance levels was very close to random expectations, that is five.

The theoretical framework of this analysis is the well known theory stating that the global warming is caused by increasing atmospheric greenhouse concentration (carbon dioxide being the most important), and that the warming is accelerating in time. From that theory it was possible to derive a testable hypothesis, saying that a statistical dependence between the two will be reached more and more quickly.

This means that if the hypothesis is correct, i.e. the climatic warming is caused by carbon dioxide concentration, the columns in the figure above should shorten from left to right. If not, the hypothesis becomes falsified and should be discarded.

It is clear that the left side of the figure (yeasts 1979-2001) is according to the hypothesis, and the columns are shortening from left to the right. Then something happens, and in year 2002 there is a jump higher. Actually, in statistics from 2002 and thereafter there are no consecutive two years with statistical significance. I have marked these columns with red color, and their shortening toward right is only because of the number of years available for the analysis. 

According to this analysis the theory of accelerating global warming due to greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide) should be falsified. It also suggests that the rise of greenhouse concentration in the atmosphere and global warming in 1979-2001 were only correlative and not in a causative relationship.

It remains to be seen how future statistical information affects this kind of analysis. After all, science does not have final truths, but it corrects itself whenever needed. According to this principle, I will continue similar analyses as this in the following years, and report in this blog. Stay tuned!

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
A scoop to be kept out of daylight
Climate change raises dishonesty in the Finnish media

The original though in Finnish:
Napajää ei tue yhteyttä globaalin lämpenemisen ja ilmakehän hiilidioksidipitoisuuden välillä