15 June 2023

A Finnish military professor predicted the possibilities of Ukraine's counterattack

The ongoing counterattack by Ukrainian forces is captivating to observe, especially when a military professor from the National Defence University of Finland provided insight into its potential outcomes.

According to the professor, if Ukraine manages to disrupt Russia's logistics along the shores of the Sea of Azov, it could mark a significant turning point for the future of the war. However, before achieving this, Ukraine must break through Russia's initial defensive line and obstruct their supply routes.

The coastal road of the Sea of Azov holds immense importance as a crucial supply route for Russia. If Ukraine can successfully push Russian forces out of their defensive positions, secure the area, and advance towards Tokmak, Melitopol, and Mariupol, they will create a strategic region that puts pressure on Russia's logistics and supply.

Once the initial defense lines are breached, it is expected that the Ukrainians will reinforce with a significantly stronger force. If the plan succeeds, it can have far-reaching effects and present entirely new possibilities for the future progression of the war. This success would enable Ukraine to prepare for addressing the western front and the situation in Crimea.

The professor has previously predicted that the gradual breach of defense lines, coupled with the ensuing battle and advancement, will likely lead to substantial casualties and equipment losses for both sides. The battle will be intense and highly destructive. Nonetheless, Ukraine has made its decision and is prepared for the challenges ahead.

Inspired by the professor's comments, I have decided to closely monitor the developments between the current front and Mariupol. I extend my heartfelt wishes for success to the courageous Ukrainian soldiers in their endeavors to reclaim their land and push the enemy forces out.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto aligned Indonesia on the wrong side of world history
Does the attack by Russian rebels pose a problem for Ukraine?
Will China ally with Russia against Ukraine?

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