A Forecast of Population Replacement in Western Europe

As you know very well – my dear readers – immigration is rapidly changing Europe. In this connection, I came across the following image from Sweden on social media.

It shows, for the countries of Western Europe, the years in which the native population will – according to a mathematical model – become a minority in their own country. The image shows that Switzerland will be the first to reach this point. There, however, the change will not be as culturally significant as in many other European countries, because the majority of immigrants are educated Westerners.

The situation is different in Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Austria and the United Kingdom, which follow next, and where immigration is dominated by people from developing countries. This will mean profound changes in these societies.

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According to the map, Finland would be the last corner of Western Europe where the native population becomes a minority. Thus, decision-makers here still have time to act even after the first European countries have gone through their own changes and their consequences are visible to everyone.

In this context, it is also worth noting that a major change in attitudes towards immigration is taking place in many European societies. As a result, political forces critical of immigration are rapidly gaining strength (example, another).

It may therefore well be that the demographic change in Western European societies will not take place according to the timetable shown on the map, but considerably more slowly. Nevertheless, sooner or later it will happen, due to immigrants of developing-country origin having a higher birth rate than the native European population.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Votes for Sale: Sweden’s Changing Political Culture
Hamtramck: A Test Case for Mass Immigration
From Burden to Benefit: Reforming Immigration in Finland