What prompted me to write this post was the publication of the most interesting opinion poll of the year. According to the poll, an overwhelming majority of Finns – 72 per cent – want fiscal consolidation to continue after the 2027 parliamentary elections. Only one in ten opposes continuing the adjustment measures – in other words, a return to the red-green agenda.
There is also broad agreement on how fiscal consolidation should be achieved, with as many as 61 per cent of Finns supporting cuts in public spending. Only 38 per cent would tighten taxation, approximately seven percentage points fewer than the proportion opposed to additional taxes.
On the other hand, public confidence in politicians appears to be rather low. No less than 65 per cent believe that politicians lack the ability to get government debt under control without external compulsion. Furthermore, 63 per cent believe that no government would be capable of implementing the €8–11 billion in fiscal adjustments being discussed for the next parliamentary term.
Despite all this, only 37 per cent of Finns would bring debt under control without taking any account whatsoever of the consequences for citizens' well-being. This is why approximately two-thirds of respondents still consider the welfare state to be worth its price. In other words, they understand that preserving it is possible only by prioritising public expenditure.
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The public sentiment described above provides responsible politicians with a solid foundation for the coming elections and the coalition negotiations that will follow. The Finnish people want to put the country's economy back on track by cutting all unnecessary public expenditure while preserving, as far as possible, the core structures of the welfare state.
It remains to be seen, however, whether Finns will vote in accordance with these views next spring. Or whether roughly two in five Finns will, as usual, place their trust in the green-left parties that practise the politics of redistribution. In other words, precisely those political forces whose lack of ability I, too, believe in – or rather, whose inability I share the majority of citizens in recognising.
That is why it is important for all responsible Finnish political parties to present, during the election campaign, their own proposals and priorities for bringing public spending into balance. And, correspondingly, for us voters to carefully weigh the measures being proposed rather than behaving like a herd of voting cattle. We should cast our votes in this matter for the party and its candidates who offer the most credible approach and the strongest track record.
Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Will Orpo’s Government Repeat Milei’s Miracle and Restore Finland’s Values?
Elections in Venezuela Do Not Offer Reason for Optimism
Marx in the Classroom: How Ideological Education Shaped Careers and Values

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