4 January 2025

Finnish International Law Experts Viewed as Political Influencers by Peers

Finland, like other Western nations, is a rule-of-law state where power is based on Montesquieu’s theory of the separation of powers. According to this principle, executive, legislative, and judicial powers must be vested in separate entities. In recent years, however, Finnish lawyers have increasingly been accused, particularly by the political right, of attempting to undermine the freedom of the Finnish Parliament, which exercises legislative power.

A striking comment about this issue was made today by Jukka Savolainen, the Network Director at the European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats. He stated that many international legal experts view their Finnish colleagues more as political influencers than as lawyers focused on the impartial administration of justice.

Specifically, Savolainen noted: "Next week, I’ll be hosting a symposium with seven professors of international law, and the majority of them have expressed surprise at the emergence of Finnish international law experts. They’ve wondered whether these experts are just poor legal scholars. Then they’ve concluded, no, they’re political influencers."

Left-leaning legal scholars have particularly criticized the return law passed last year to counter Russia’s hybrid warfare. This law allowed Finland to close its eastern border, effectively halting the flow of asylum seekers facilitated by Russia. The legislative amendment was enacted despite opposition from these scholars and successfully stopped the influx of migrants across Finland’s eastern border.

According to Savolainen, the emergency law was enacted in accordance with proper legislative procedures. He also emphasized that Finland is a sovereign state that can choose its commitments and withdraw from them as it sees fit. Additionally, he noted that Russia’s modern warfare doctrine explicitly mentions directing migration waves toward targeted countries as a method of state destabilization, providing both theoretical and factual justification for the law.

Regrettably, I doubt that even the criticisms I have discussed here will have any effect on left-leaning Finnish legal scholars, whose leading figure is Martin Scheinin. Scheinin, a former member of the UN Human Rights Committee and also once involved in Finland’s Communist Party, has shown no respect for the separation of powers whenever it has conflicted with his own ambitions. This trend is evident throughout his career.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Defending National Security: Finland's Response to Hybrid Warfare
Finland to Tighten Asylum Legislation and Reduce Undocumented Residents
Putin's useful idiots in Finland

3 January 2025

The Northern Sea Ice Area in 2024 Was Not the Smallest on Record

The year 2024 was apparently the warmest year in recorded temperature history. Therefore, I decided to examine the development of the northern sea ice area this year based on data collected by NASA's National Snow and Ice Data Center.

According to recent statistics, however, the northern polar ice defied my expectations. Its area was not the smallest on record but larger than in 2007, 2016, 2019, and 2020 as seen in the figure below. 


Additionally, its average area was not the smallest in any month of the measurement history. As I wrote earlier, in September, when the ice reaches its annual minimum area, it was the fourth smallest in recorded history.

This past December, however, the northern sea ice was the second smallest on record, so I am eagerly waiting to see what happens in January. Could it possibly shrink further than in previous years, giving hope for the opening of the Northeast Passage for maritime traffic?

2 January 2025

Russian Fake News vs. Reality

Russian scammers have informed people wanting to come to Finland that the border would soon be opened and are offering them transportation services. As a result, people have appeared near the border after being deceived into believing that the border will open shortly.

These individuals have been transported close to the border and then left to fend for themselves, with Russian authorities denying responsibility for the fake news. However, outlets like Komsomolskaya Pravda have falsely claimed that Finland’s Prime Minister Petteri Orpo (National Coalition Party) was supposedly seeking ways to negotiate with Russia to open one border crossing point.

Finland’s Minister of the Interior, Mari Rantanen (Finns Party), has reacted to the Russian reporting and stated that “Finland's eastern border remains closed until further notice.” Hopefully, this message is also understood by the Muslims in Russia who are longing to move to Finland.

They should also be aware that, as of the beginning of this year, it is no longer possible to obtain permanent asylum in Finland. Instead, the right to stay in the country ends as soon as the need for asylum ceases. In other words, it is no longer worth coming to Finland under the guise of international protection just to seek a higher standard of living supported by social benefits for the rest of one's life.

Previous thoughts on the same topic:
Defending National Security: Finland's Response to Hybrid Warfare
Getting asylum in Finland becomes significantly more difficult
Duck emphasizing the urgency of the new border law